Brasil

BrazilRisk

Pernambuco

Score: 83/100
Nordeste · RecifePop: 9.674.793Area: 98.312 km²Climate: Tropical/Semi-aridBiome: Caatinga, Mata Atlântica

Premiums

R$ 1.6B

Claims

R$ 1.2B

Loss Ratio

75.0%

Policies

420.000

Avg Claim

R$ 62K

Premiums and claims figures exclude Health (Saúde) and Pension Funds (Previdência/VGBL/PGBL). Data covers P&C, Life, Agro, and RD Equipamentos branches only.

Peril Risk Profile

FloodDroughtWildfireLandslideStormHailFrostCoastal
floodCRITICAL
droughtCRITICAL
wildfireMEDIUM
landslideCRITICAL
stormHIGH
hailLOW
frostLOW
CoastalHIGH

Climate Trends (2000-2025)

200120032005200720092011201320152017201920212023202524°C28°C32°C36°C40°C300mm450mm600mm750mm900mm

Exceedance Probability (EP) Curve — Pernambuco

25102050100250500Return Period (years)R$ 0R$800.0MR$ 1.6BR$ 2.4BR$ 3.2B

Underwriting Summary

Risk ClassificationRED
Rate Adjustment vs National Avg+44%
DeductibleIncrease standard deductible by 50-100% for NatCat perils

Accumulation Warning

Grande Recife — coastal flood accumulation

Reinsurance Recommendation

Recommend Cat XL or facultative placement for exposures > BRL 10M

Climate Trend

Temperature trend: +1.0°C since 2000. CRITICAL: Drought frequency increasing — forward-looking rate adjustment recommended.

Historical NatCat Events

🌊 Flood5/2022

Severe flooding in Greater Recife metropolitan area

Insured: R$ 780.0MDeaths: 133